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Old 11-19-2012, 09:41 AM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EUR/USD

Maintains near-term positive tone after reversal from 1.4247 high found support at 1.4020. Yesterday’s breach of 1.4218, previous high, has so far reached 1.4232, just ahead of 1.4247, 22 Mar lower top, clearance of which is required for fresh attempt at 1.4280, Nov 2010 peak and major trendline resistance. Current correction is consolidating above 1.4150, with further easing not ruled out, and higher low above 1.41 seen to maintain bulls. Loss of 1.41, however, will delay and re-expose 1.4050/20 for test.


Res: 1.4176, 1.4200, 1.4232, 1.4247
Sup: 1.4152, 1.4115, 1.4090, 1.4050





GBP/USD

Upside failure to sustain gains above strong resistance at 1.6140 has triggered sharp reversal under 1.61 to reach 1.6015, just above 1.6010 higher low. Recovery attempt is seen capped by 1.61 zone, with break here and key near-term barrier at 1.6150 to signal recovery under-way. Otherwise, fresh weakness through 1.6015/10 will re-focus 1.5942/35.

Res: 1.6083, 1.6095, 1.6127, 1.6149
Sup: 1.6015, 1.6010, 1.5978, 1.5942





USD/JPY

Reversal from 83.20, yesterday’s high, was contained at 82.55, where fresh strength has emerged. Clearance of 83.20/29 barriers and important 200 day MA at 83.62, has so far reached 83.73, just ahead of 83.96, 16 Feb high, break of which is needed to open 84.49, key short-term resistance. Positive near-term studies see scope for further gains, with 82.75/55 expected to contain corrective dips on overbought conditions, to keep immediate bulls in play

Res: 83.20, 83.29, 83.52, 83.96
Sup: 82.55, 82.35, 82.00, 81.50





USD/CHF

Correction from 0.9273 spike high exceeded 0.9138/30, 29 Mar higher low/38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 0.8900/1.9273 ascend, to find temporary support at 0.9125. Break above 0.92 barrier keeps positive near-term tone for further gains, with regain of 0.9273 required to resume short-term recovery from 0.8900, towards key short-term barrier at 0.9367. On the downside, loss of 0.9125/00 weakens the tone.


Res: 0.9215, 0.9232, 0.9273, 0.9310
Sup: 0.9185, 0.9125, 0.9089, 0.9073

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