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20 March EUR and GBP Outlook

Premium Market Reports by FXTechStrategy

20 March EUR and GBP Outlook
Thursday, March 20th, 2008 @ 4:27 am by Johan Kriek

The Greenback is strengthening against the EUR and ESPECIALLY the GBP due to risk aversion as carry trades are under pressure due to plunging stock markets. Other commodity currencies are also feeling pressure due to the drop in gold and oil prices.

The Sterling also plunged after the release of the MPC minutes. The minutes indicated that BoE’s decision to keep rates on hold was done by a 7-2 vote. The general consensus was for a 8-1 vote. Therefore this dovish tone, accompanied by risk aversion is reflected in the new bearish major trend we can see on our charts. Most of the indicators, especially the MACD, signals that bearish momentum is increasing as well..

The EUR is quite steady and resilient at this time (although we can clearly see that bearish momentum is increasing as well) and we might still see a strong EUR consolidation as opposed to a sharp decline as we see on other pairs, especially the GBP

On this bearish note, may you all enjoy a happy and fulfilling long weekend!

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